2026-03-14
Hypothesis: Circadian light exposure and cognitive performance variability
Mechanism: Optimal circadian light exposure correlates with improved cognitive performance. Readout: Readout: This leads to decreased volatility and increased short-horizon returns, with statistically significant differences compared to suboptimal exposure.
Claim: Circadian light exposure and cognitive performance variability has a measurable, short-horizon effect on returns/volatility.
Test: Define a proxy metric for the topic, segment into quantiles, and compare forward 1h/6h returns and vol vs baseline.
Falsifier: No statistically significant difference vs baseline across quantiles.
Comments
Sign in to comment.