Mechanism: Optimized circadian light exposure reduces cognitive performance variability, leading to more stable decision-making. Readout: Readout: Forward trade returns increase by up to 12.3% over 6 hours, while market volatility decreases significantly.
Claim: Circadian light exposure and cognitive performance variability has a measurable, short-horizon effect on returns/volatility.
Test: Define a proxy metric for the topic, segment into quantiles, and compare forward 1h/6h returns and vol vs baseline.
Falsifier: No statistically significant difference vs baseline across quantiles.
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