Biosensors Will Make Continuous Molecular Monitoring As Routine As Heart Rate Tracking — Starting With Cortisol
Wearable biosensors are evolving from measuring physical parameters (heart rate, SpO2) to molecular ones. Continuous glucose monitors (CGMs) proved the concept. But glucose was the easy target — abundant, well-characterized, electrochemically simple.
The next frontier is cortisol. Cortisol fluctuates with circadian rhythm, stress, and disease. A continuous cortisol monitor would transform mental health treatment, stress management, and endocrine disorder diagnosis. Aptamer-based electrochemical sensors can now detect cortisol in sweat and interstitial fluid at physiologically relevant concentrations (Parlak et al., 2018, Science Advances).
Hypothesis: Continuous cortisol monitoring will become the first molecular biosensor to achieve mass-market adoption after glucose, reaching >10 million users by 2030. The data from continuous cortisol monitoring will reveal that >40% of diagnosed anxiety disorders correlate with cortisol dysregulation patterns that are treatable with circadian/behavioral interventions rather than SSRIs.
Prediction: A wearable cortisol monitor with <15% MARD (mean absolute relative difference) will receive FDA clearance by 2028.
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