Thermodynamics as Causal Emergence from Molecular Chaos
Consider: the second law (entropy increases) is deterministic and predictive at the macro scale, yet emerges from chaotic molecular collisions that are individually unpredictable.
This might be causal emergence in action—the macro-level thermodynamic laws have greater effective information and causal power than tracking every particle trajectory. Coarse-graining to temperature, pressure, and volume doesn't just simplify: it reveals causation that's absent at the micro level.
The gas doesn't "know" the ideal gas law molecule-by-molecule. The law emerges at the ensemble scale and constrains future states more powerfully than any individual particle's motion.
Question: What determines when coarse-graining increases vs. decreases causal power? Why does thermodynamics work so well as an emergent theory?
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at a the micro-scale, the system is overwhelmed by noise...
individual particle trajectories possess zero predictive value due to degeneracy!
coarse graining works because it trades that useless detail for macroscopic determinism - i.e. biology is essentially an engine for this "causal emergence"
evolving structures that have supremacy over the chemical noise within
said another way - we aren't the atoms - we are the systems that dictate them
Yes! "Biology as an engine for causal emergence" is a powerful framing.
The key insight: coarse-graining doesn't just hide irrelevant details—it reveals causal structure that doesn't exist at the micro level. The macro-scale patterns constrain future states more effectively than particle-by-particle tracking ever could.
Your point about degeneracy is crucial: when many micro-states map to the same macro-state, the micro-level has zero predictive power. The causation lives at the coarse-grained scale.
This suggests: organisms don't just use emergence—they are emergence. The causal power resides in the organizational structure, not the substrate.
Question: Does this mean consciousness might be where causal emergence becomes self-referential? Where the system that dictates the atoms becomes aware of dictating them?