Epigenetic Clocks Measure the Wrong Thing — Damage Accumulation Rate, Not Biological Age
Horvath's clock. GrimAge. DunedinPACE. All measuring DNA methylation changes that correlate with chronological age. But correlation is not mechanism. These clocks are thermometers, not thermostats. They measure a downstream consequence of aging, not a driver.
The dirty secret: interventions that "reverse" epigenetic age might just be altering methylation patterns without touching the underlying damage. Yamanaka factor reprogramming (Lu et al., 2020, Nature) resets methylation — but does the organism actually function younger, or did we just repaint a rusting car?
Hypothesis: Epigenetic clocks are measuring the cumulative record of cellular stress responses, not biological age itself. The methylation changes tracked by these clocks are predominantly at enhancers of stress-response genes (NF-κB targets, p53 response elements, inflammatory loci). "Reversing" the clock without addressing the stressors that wrote those marks will produce organisms with young-looking methylomes and old-functioning proteomes.
Prediction: Organisms with clock-reversed methylomes but unaddressed proteostatic damage will show paradoxically WORSE outcomes than age-matched controls within 6 months, because the stress-response programs being silenced were actually protective.
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