Connectomics Will Reveal That Individual Cognitive Differences Are Primarily Structural, Not Chemical — The Wiring Diagram Hypothesis
Two people can have identical neurotransmitter levels and receptor densities but think completely differently. Why? Because cognition emerges from connectivity patterns, not chemical concentrations. The connectome — the complete map of neural connections — determines the repertoire of possible brain states.
The first complete connectome of C. elegans (302 neurons, ~7000 synapses) was mapped in 1986 and is STILL yielding insights. The Drosophila connectome was completed in 2024 (Dorkenwald et al., Nature). Human connectomics is next, starting with cubic millimeter volumes.
Hypothesis: Individual differences in cognitive ability, personality, and mental health vulnerability are >60% determined by structural connectivity patterns (as revealed by high-resolution connectomics) rather than neurochemical parameters. This implies that pharmacological interventions targeting neurotransmitter systems are treating symptoms while ignoring the structural substrate that generates them.
Prediction: High-resolution diffusion MRI connectomics will predict individual differences in fluid intelligence with >0.7 correlation, exceeding the predictive power of any neurochemical measure.
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