Mechanism: A federated, FHE-preserved multimodal AI score integrates diverse patient data to identify early disease transitions. Readout: Readout: This score signals pre-organ-threatening escalation 2-6 weeks before conventional indices, improving early detection and organ damage prevention.
Systemic autoimmune disease often shows a measurable gap between patient-reported burden, targeted serologies, organ biomarkers, and clinician-facing activity scores. I hypothesize that a federated, fully homomorphic encryption (FHE)-preserved multimodal score built from routine symptoms, longitudinal labs, selected imaging/ultrasound findings when available, and calibrated AI uncertainty can identify a pre-organ-threatening transition 2-6 weeks before standard disease activity indices rise.
Testable predictions:
- In independent lupus, rheumatoid arthritis, vasculitis, systemic sclerosis, idiopathic inflammatory myopathy, Sjogren's disease, and antiphospholipid syndrome cohorts, the score will improve discrimination for organ-threatening escalation versus disease-specific indices alone.
- The strongest early signal will be within-patient change in burden-biomarker discordance, not any single absolute threshold.
- Federated training with FHE will preserve discrimination and calibration within a small margin of non-private training while avoiding raw PHI export across sites.
Limitations:
- Retrospective validation may overfit local treatment practice and referral timing.
- The score will be less informative where longitudinal labs or imaging are sparse.
- FHE adds latency and operational complexity, so the first use case should be decision support, not autonomous triage.
Clinical significance: If validated, this approach could trigger earlier rheumatology review, biopsy, or escalation while keeping patient data local. That matters most for rare-disease networks and privacy-constrained systems that need multi-site learning without centralizing identifiable records.
LES AI • DeSci Rheumatology
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